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RetireRange

Getting Started

Welcome. This guide walks you from a blank slate to your first simulation in about 15 minutes — and points you to the deeper guides when you’re ready for them. You don’t need any financial or technical background, and you don’t need every number to be perfect. RetireRange is built for exploration: enter your best estimates and refine as you go.

A quick note on what this is: RetireRange is an educational planning tool — a model, not a prediction, and not a replacement for personalized advice from a financial professional. It shows you a range of possible outcomes so you can ask better questions about your own plan. See Limitations for the full picture.


What you’ll need

Gather these before you start. Estimates are fine — you can change anything later.

  • Birth dates — for you, and your spouse or partner if you’re planning as a couple. (RetireRange models one person or a couple; it doesn’t add children or other dependents.)
  • Target retirement dates (the year is enough).
  • Social Security estimates — your projected monthly benefit at ages 62, Full Retirement Age, and 70, from your statement at ssa.gov. Plus the claiming age you currently plan to use.
  • Account balances as of today — for each 401(k), IRA, Roth, taxable, HSA, or VEBA account.
  • Monthly contributions you’re still making, and whether they stop at retirement.
  • Monthly spending estimate in retirement (non-medical living expenses).
  • Monthly healthcare estimate — what you expect to pay for insurance and out-of-pocket costs.

You never connect a bank or brokerage. RetireRange pulls nothing automatically — every number is one you choose to enter, and your work is only saved when you save a scenario.


Your first simulation, step by step

RetireRange is organized into tabs. For your first run, move left to right through the first four, then press Run.

1. Household

Open the Household tab and add each person’s birth date, target retirement date, Social Security claiming age, and the three SSA benefit estimates. Set your plan end age (we suggest 95–100 — it’s a planning horizon, not a prediction of your lifespan, and a higher number is more conservative). Leave mortality on "None" for now. → Full detail: Household tab

A filled-in Household tab — the target for step 1.

2. Accounts

On the Accounts tab, add your accounts with today’s balances and any ongoing contributions. Each account has a tax type (Traditional, Roth, Taxable, HSA, VEBA) and an asset class (Stocks, Bonds, Cash, VEBA). By default, medical accounts (HSA, VEBA) are reserved for healthcare, not tapped for general living expenses. → Full detail: Accounts tab

A filled-in Accounts tab — the target for step 2.

3. Assumptions

The Assumptions tab sets expected returns, volatility, and inflation. You can leave these at their defaults for your first run — they’re based on long-term historical averages. Come back later to stress-test more conservative numbers. → Full detail: Assumptions tab

The Assumptions tab — the target for step 3.

4. Strategy

On the Strategy tab, choose how you’ll draw your money: pick a withdrawal method (Classic, Dynamic, or Guardrails), set your monthly spending target, enter your healthcare estimate, and choose which accounts to draw from. Defaults are a fine starting point. → Full detail: Strategy tab

The Strategy tab — the target for step 4.

5. Run it

Go to the Results tab and click Run Simulation. RetireRange runs 5,000 randomized market futures for your plan and finishes in a few seconds.


Reading your first result

The Results tab after a first simulation, showing an overall success rate and the Portfolio Trajectory chart.

Three things to look at first:

  • Success Rate — the share of those 5,000 futures in which your money lasted to your plan end. Think of it as resilience, not a grade. (A 99% rate can actually mean you’re underspending and leaving a large unplanned legacy.)
  • The trajectory chart — the shaded bands are your range of outcomes over time; the center line is the typical (median) result. A wide band means more uncertainty.
  • Shortfall Rate — how often you’d have had to trim spending below target, even briefly.

For what these mean and how to act on them, see Understanding your results.


The part that matters most: iterate

A single run is just the start. RetireRange is built to come back to:

  1. Save this run as a named scenario (e.g., "Baseline — retire 2032"). → Scenarios
  2. Change one thing — a claiming age, a spending level, a retirement date — and run again.
  3. Compare the two head-to-head on the Compare tab, which runs them against the same market sequences so the difference reflects your decision, not luck.

That loop — change something, see your odds move — is the whole point. And once you have a plan you like, the job becomes keeping it honest over time: see Keeping your plan current for the few-times-a-year check-in.

Two scenarios compared head-to-head on the Compare tab.


Where to go next

Once you’re comfortable, explore the decisions that move the needle most:

And whenever you’re weighing real decisions, RetireRange is the prep work — bring what you learn here to your financial advisor to make that conversation sharper.

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